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Archive for April, 2010

Italian betting experiment – Part three

Posted by ballabettor On April - 25 - 2010

Posting more results about the betting experiment on lower divisions, this is from last weekend. This weekend I was out most of the time, so it was no possible to stop and make the bets.

Type Bet Outcome
36 x doubles Ancona v AC Ascoli <2.5 @1.75
s Cittadella v Triestina <2.5 @1.65
s Empoli v Padova <2.5 @1.75
s Frosinone v Vicenza <2.5 @1.70
s Lecce v Brescia <2.5 @1.70
s Mantova v Gallipoli <2.5 @1.85
s Torino v Cesena <2.5 @1.65
s Piacenza v Sassuolo <2.5 @1.65
s Reggina v Crotone <2.5 @1.70

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Mourinho knows all.

Posted by ballabettor On April - 21 - 2010

Despite the fact that I love Barcelona’s style of play and even more Pep Guardiola for his ability to bring this ball possession tactics into Barça’s game, it is impossible to deny how well Mourinho’s guys played the strategic game yesterday.

If you don’t consider a couple, maybe three balls that Xavi was allowed to pass through the defense (usually that happens+10x a match) and um kick from Messi, Inter was flawless. From the keeper to the most offensive attacker. It was another almost perfect game. Inter played without the ball, they let Barcelona keep possession, but they held them from the midfield, with only Eto’o or Milito loose, never both. By the way, both were showing incredible tactics discipline by coming sometimes close to the defense box to close the wall.

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Italian betting experiment – Part two

Posted by ballabettor On April - 10 - 2010

Today I followed my theory to bet on under 2.5 goals on all Italian Serie B matches. Once again, the bet was on all doubles and it worked quite well. Below, the table of bets:

Type Bet Outcome
15 x doubles Ancona  v Crotone <2.5 @1.75
s Cittadella v AC Ascoli <2.5 @1.60
s Grosseto v Vicenza <2.5 @1.75
s Mantova v Piacenza <2.5 @1.65
s Reggina v Empoli <2.5 @1.65
s Triestina v Brescia <2.5 @1.60

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A great night it was last Wednesday. Manchester United playing home opened a 3-0 advantage which seemed like an impossible job for the Germans to pass, but they showed heart and scored the two needed goals to go to next phase. Olic’s goal in the last minute of first half was decisive to Van Gaal’s side to return from the locker room confident enough to reach the objetive. It was a great football played by both sides.

Meanwhile in France, Lyon playing with a 3-1 advantage from first leg on their back, were brave and even quite lucky when they held the current France champions from Bordeaux. The goal scored in the end of first half served to put some wood in the fire and made Bordeaux even more keen to keep the pressure on. Looked like a one side match, since Bordeaux played almost the whole game inside Lyon’s field, but they were stopped by the good goalkeeper from Lyon, Hugo Lloris. It’s said that Juventus is spotting this young man as a replacement for Gigi Buffon. He can’t be that bad, can he? ;)

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Before the matches yesteday, I discussed with my colleagues why I was 99% sure that a bet on Barcelona to win first half by at least two goals was good. They are in exquisite form and run as hard as possible to get posession back if they don’t have it. But on first half, they usually do it even more, since it looks like Pep loves to have the game “over” after the first half end whistle.

What Arsenal, a team that also likes to play with posession, do against such a big eager to maintain the ball and in better overall shape?

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Popularity: 3% [?]